Rightfield Blues II: The Revenge - Cubs Sign Jones
Jacque Jones has signed a three-year, $16 million deal with the Cubs to play rightfield. I'll be charitable and point out that Jones is a very good defensive rightfielder, and he hits homeruns now and again.
However, my less charitable side feels that it would be fun (or not so much) to cobble together a list of things that the Cubs would have been better off doing instead of giving Jacque Jones a three-year deal.
1) Pick up Jeromy Burnitz's option. Last year, Burnitz and Jones were very similar:
Burnitz .258/.322/.435, 24 HR, 5-9 SB
Jones .249/.319/.438, 23 HR, 13-17 SB
A few more SB for Jones, but nothing terribly significant, and Jones plays better defense, but there's not a huge difference there, either.
Given their similarities, and given that they're both poor options for rightfield, I'd rather pay $7.5 million over one year to Burnitz than $16 million over three years to Jones. In fact, given that signing Jones will also cost the Cubs a first-round draft pick, I think it's pretty close to a no-brainer.
2) Play Corey Patterson in right. I mentioned last week that I'd rather do this than sign Jones, and I'm sticking by that now. Granted, Patterson is, to say the least, a big risk at this point, but is it really that hard to picture him putting up an OBP around .310, and hitting 20-25 homers? That would be grossly inadequate for a rightfielder, but that's what the Cubs are getting with Jones anyway. Patterson's 2004 season, when he hit .266/.320/.452 with 24 HR, was better than anything Jones has managed except for 2002, which looks increasingly fluky with every year that goes by.
Bottom line: if Patterson can recover anything of his career, he should be able to match anything Jones contributes. And if he can't, at least the Cubs aren't stuck with him for three years.
3) Sign Nomar to play left, and shift Murton to right. This argument was made by our host before the season even ended, and it looks better now than ever after Garciaparra signed a one-year deal with the Dodgers. Really, given how cheap Nomar turned out to be, the Cubs look ridiculous for not bringing him back.
4) Give the job to whatever minor leaguer has a good spring, or someone like Ben Grieve. Seriously ... the Cubs are now stuck with a guy who looks like he'll be one of the worst rightfielders in the league for three years. They could have gone with a temp in right and upgraded midseason, or even next offseason, and been better off. I would have rather written off one year at that position instead of the three that the Cubs have thrown away by signing Jacque Jones.
- Brian C's blog
- Login or register to post comments







3 Years?!?
Far be it from me to complain... oh wait, that's what we do... but three years? Did someone spike the holiday punch at the Tribune Holiday party? While I realize the pool of free agent outfielders was thin - would have loved to see old man Giles in right - c'mon, Mr. Hendry! Was "the trade" I'd been reading about for a right fielder just smoke and mirrors? I really hope Hendry and company is right on this one.
Oh yeah...
Corey, I sincerely wish you the best of luck. You've been a favorite of mine for the past few seasons... I hope to only see you on Web Gems and never swippen' bases at Wrigley in a visitors uniform!
RE: 3 Years?!?
I'm with you socali. It's hard for anyone to get excited about the Jones signing but knowing Hendry's track record, I'm hopin (PRAYING) he's working on something bigger. My guess? Either a big name/run producer at SS or 2B. I'm big on Cedeno starting at the either one, but don't know how I feel about the Walker/Cedeno combo.
OR, he goes for another quality starter. But as of today, it seems hard for a Cubs fan to be excited about the off-season moves (other than Pierre). I hold to the opinion that Jones doesn't seem like a great improvement over Patterson or Burnitz.
I too am a big Corey supporter and it pains me to know he probably won't be on the team in '06, but I wish him a great season wherever he winds up.
Alternatives
You really like Nomar better given his contract? He's guaranteed $6M with up to $4M in incentives. That means either he'll get injured again or the Dodgers will fork over $10M for the same stats as Jones and not nearly the glove. Jones hit 268/348/466 (814 OPS) against RHP; the Cubs just need to find him a platoon partner when a lefty starts. #4 above is a great solution there.
I like Patterson; I hope he rebounds. But it seems overly optimistic to ignore 2005 when he wasn't even replacemet level and assume he'll bounce back to his 2004 numbers.
Jones has been playing in a pitchers' park and has been given too much playing time against lefties. Out of the Metrodome, used properly, he'll be worth the contract though much of his value is his glove so it may never be clear how valuable he is.
re: alternatives
You really like Nomar better given his contract? He's guaranteed $6M with up to $4M in incentives. That means either he'll get injured again or the Dodgers will fork over $10M for the same stats as Jones and not nearly the glove.
The same stats as Jones? Nomar's worst year in his career was last year, when he hit .283/.320/.452. Jones only has one season in his career that was significantly better than that. If Nomar's healthy, there's little question that he'd be better than Jones, and if he's not healthy ... it's one year. I'd rather take my chances on Nomar being healthy for one year than Jones being good for three.
Jones hit 268/348/466 (814 OPS) against RHP
But, that's still not very good. An 814 OPS makes you an average rightfielder at best.
But it seems overly optimistic to ignore 2005 when he wasn't even replacemet level and assume he'll bounce back to his 2004 numbers.
You're probably right. But again, the real difference here is one year vs. three years, not to mention the loss of a draft pick.
Jones has been playing in a pitchers' park and has been given too much playing time against lefties. Out of the Metrodome, used properly, he'll be worth the contract though much of his value is his glove so it may never be clear how valuable he is.
There's not much difference between Wrigley and the Metrodome in terms of park effects. See for yourself: MIN vs. CHC. Both are essentially neutral averaged over the past few years, and if anything, Wrigley has been more of a pitchers park.
And while I do give credit to Jones for his defense, it's not like he's going to be playing center. Rightfield defense just isn't a terribly important factor, especially given the questions this team already faces on offense.
Jones's Splits
AdamSt. makes a good point. Jones is serviceable as long as he doesn't see the light of day against lefties. But did the Cubs really sign him to this kind of contract to be a platoon player? And the only person in the system who can platoon with him is Jerry Hairston, Jr. I don't see that happening. Brandon Sing perhaps. But he's not on the 40 man roster and by all accounts would be just as well without a glove on his hand.
A righthanded platoon partner could be on the way via trade. At the end of the article Brian linked to, the AP quotes Hendry as saying about his offering Patterson a contract, "I'm sure that once people see that he's being tendered a contract ... I think that we'll see an increase in interest for Corey." Patterson could be traded for another outfielder. But again, I don't see a platoon with Jones happening. And I think it more likely that Dusty Baker will platoon John Mabry with Matt Murton.
platoon
But did the Cubs really sign him to this kind of contract to be a platoon player?
In the world we live in, no. And even if they did, Dusty has not shown the ability to manage an effective platoon without being distracted by "matchups", such as a player being 3-6 against a pitcher in his career.
I love Nomar, but...
Nomar is smarter than Jones in the outfield? Very little chance of that. I mean, I love Nomar, his clubhouse personality, and his bat, but $6 million plus incentives for a guy to play a defensive position he's never played before? The first time he dives for a ball in a crucial situation he'll separate his shoulder. Or he won't be used to being called off a ball by the center fielder, so he'll collide and hurt himself. It's just not worth the risk. If you're a Cubs fan, you know how unpredictable the wind is in the outfield and how cold it is for the first two months of the season. Can anyone say "bad hammy?" Does anyone remember that the Red Sox won the series AFTER that replaced Nomar with a guy who could play defense?
I have to trust that Hendry made this move because he's saving his prospects and position players to trade for another need. I think it's a #2 or 3 starter. Mabry is the platoon guy for the outfield. Sanders could be the other, knowing Dusty. I can visualize Barry Zito in a Cubs uniform very easily. Maybe that's why there's no obvious open outfield position left for Felix Pie.
re: I love Nomar
You're unquestionably right that Nomar is an injury risk, but I think that you're not appreciating how inadequate Jones is as an everyday corner outfielder. It'd be like giving Jose Macias a three-year deal to play second.
#5 to the list
5) Signing Kenny Lofton to a one-year deal. Much cheaper, and in his bad years he gets on base much better than Jones.
re: #5
Yeah, but the truth is that if I had really wanted a thorough list, I'd be writing that post through the night and into the afternoon tomorrow. We could plug just about any player into a sentence containing "one-year deal" and come out ahead.
Felix Pie
The speculation appears to be that Hendry traded for Juan Pierre to be something more than a one-year rental. If that's the case, and following the signing of Jones for three years, what does all this mean for the Cubs' plans for Pie. I don't think Pie's ready, but the Cubs sure seemed to give the media indications that they thought he was close to ready before he got injured last year. I wonder if the Cubs now think Pie's ankle problems, which kept him out the last half of the year, are more serious than originally thought.
Pie point...
Good point regarding the ankle injury... or... were/are they using him (Pie) as bait for something bigger? I can't see a platoon situation for Jones especially given Dusty's approach in having players work through slumps. Any thoughts?
RE: Pie
It looks like Pie is destined to spend most if not all of '06 in AAA. He's having a pretty dismal winter season (hitting only .209). I just don't see him being ready until '07.
I read somewhere that the Cubs are expected to sign Pierre to a multi-year deal sometime during the '06 season.
High Reward?
The Chicago Tribune's Paul Sullivan pronounces Jacque Jones to be a "a high-risk, high-reward player." No, Milton Bradley is a high-risk, high-reward player. Jones is about as predictable as they come.
Kenny Lofton and Sammy Sosa
I would've liked to see Kenny Lofton and Sammy Sosa return to the Cubs.
The Cubs seemed to do pretty well with those two in the outfield.
Remember Lofton's look when he saw that towering Sosa home run that landed near the WGN center field camera tent?
http://news.google.com/news?hl=en&tab=wn...
http://news.google.com/news?hl=en&q=%22S...
Photos from a Cubs game at Wrigley